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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 25, 2006 5:40:29 GMT -5
Preliminary reports indicate high turnout amongst Democrat and Republican core constituencies in the Great Plains. Enterpriser turnout approaches 100%. Liberal turnout approaches 100%. Social Conservatives turn out for the Republicans. Pro Government Conservatives have extraordinarily low turnout, with only about 20-25% going to vote.
Upbeat turnout approaching 100% in a shocking turnabout from recent elections! Will this be enough to swing the Heartland into the Democrat camp?
Disaffecteds largely staying home. Low turnout amongst conservative Democrats. Disadvantaged Democrats turnout out at around 10%, feeling highly alienated by budget-touting advertising by both parties, and a general dislike of welfare.
It looks like the Heartland will come down to a battle of the titans... the biggest electoral constituencies of both parties. More to follow...!
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 25, 2006 8:20:16 GMT -5
Enterprisers: 2.5/2.5 GOP
Social Conservatives: 2.5/2.5 GOP
Pro Gov Conservatives: 1.0/2.5 GOP
Upbeats: 2.5/3.0 DEMOCRATS
Disaffecteds: 0.5/3.0 DEMOCRATS
Liberals: 2.0/2.0 DEMOCRATS
Conservative Democrats: 0.5/2.5 DEMOCRATS
Disadvantaged Democrats: 0.5/2.0 DEMOCRATS
RESULT:
GOP: 6.0
DEMOCRATS: 6.0
TIE.
Heartland region's delegates go to Democrats and Republicans in equal proportion!
A stunning Democrat upset in the GOP-strong heartland! Analysts attribute this to Republicans driving up liberal turnout by fighting a campaign aggressively focused on fiscal issues, homeland security and foreign policy, as well as excellent Democrat organization. Also, Republicans turned off core welfare-oriented constituencies by repeatedly making fiscal responsibility a theme of the campaign. Democrats also snagged the vital upbeat typology by attacking GOP stances on immigration.
E.
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 25, 2006 8:39:59 GMT -5
Total representatives for the Heartland:
REPUBLICAN DELEGATION
35 representatives
DEMOCRAT DELEGATION
34 representatives
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 27, 2006 20:42:06 GMT -5
BLITZER: "You're watching CNN. New England was a major focus for the Democrat campaign... the Republicans largely drove out their core constituencies. In spite of a major endorsement from popular President Rick Warder, it wasn't enough to sway the tide. New England naturally sways Democratic, but with the Clinton factor, the Democrats easily overcame the Republican campaign. Analysts said that Republicans focused far too heavily on a narrow range of issues, such as fiscal responsibility and national defense. In liberal New England, these issues only reasonate with a small voter demographic..."
DEMOCRAT DELEGATION
55 Representatives
REPUBLICAN DELEGATION
37 Representatives
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 27, 2006 20:46:12 GMT -5
BLITZER: "In the Great Lakes, the Democrats had a broad appeal, hitting a range of topics such as civil liberties, transportation, welfare funding, veterans' benefits... the Republicans on the other hand again focused on a narrow breadth of issues, mainly defense and fiscal responsibility. This energized the base but left other constituencies feeling cold. The Democrats again swept to an easy victory, with strong turnout due to aggressive registration efforts."
DEMOCRAT DELEGATION
55 Representatives
REPUBLICAN DELEGATION
36 Representatives
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 27, 2006 20:55:01 GMT -5
BLITZER: "The Democrats fought a tough campaign, but in the end, the Clinton factor wasn't enough to outweigh the Warder factor... with California's revitalized, Warderized GOP turning out voters in droves in favor of sending batches of moderate Republican candidates to Congress. On top of this, the Republicans flooded the airwaves with advertising. A few personal appearances in Mr. Reynolds were not enough to turn the tide. However, aggressive voter registration and turnout efforts in Washington and Oregon managed to bring those states even deeper into the Republican column, acting as a kind of safety valve. By contrast with the national campaign, the Republican effort in California also included a focus on border security. The alienated liberals - a big Democrat constituency - but this was made up for by President Warder's recent man-handling of the oil spill crisis outside Los Angeles, and pushing legislation to ban single hulled tankers (part of the endorsement).
"The effect of President Warder's personal endorsement of most candidates swung the election here for Republicans. That, combined with the fact that California is the biggest state in the Pacific Coast, means Democrats should be surprised things didn't go worse for them..."
REPUBLICAN DELEGATION
46 Representatives
DEMOCRAT DELEGATION
38 Representatives
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 27, 2006 21:05:48 GMT -5
BLITZER: "Our final region is the Southeast. The Republican base here is the biggest of any of the regions, and they were very motivated. Over half of the nation's social conservatives are in this region, and a full third of the nation's enterprisers. Pro Government conservatives are the strongest in the Southeast as well. The Republicans easily swept this area by keeping their base turnout high and making sure that their appeal was focused on issues like national defense, traditional values and an assertive foreign policy, as well as keeping a lid on rampant immigration."
REPUBLICAN DELEGATION
59 Representatives
DEMOCRAT DELEGATION
40 Representatives
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Post by Rick Warder on Jan 27, 2006 21:07:36 GMT -5
FINAL TOTAL
DEMOCRATS:
222
REPUBLICANS:
213 |
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